AGIR is
the title of a major study on the process of population ageing in Europe and
its future economic consequences. This project was motivated by an interest
in verifying whether people are not only living longer but also in better
health. It aims at analysing how the economic impact of population ageing
could vary when not only demographic factors, but also health developments
are taken into consideration. The project started in January 2002 for a period
of three years.
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The principal objectives of the study are to:
• document developments in the health of the elderly,
ideally since 1950, based on a systematic collection of existing national data
on the health and morbidity of different cohorts of the population;
• analyse retirement decisions and the demand for
health care as a function of age, health and the utility of work and leisure;
• combine these results, and on that basis to
elaborate scenarios for the future evolution of expenditure on health care and
pensions; and
• analyse the potential macroeconomic consequences of
different measures aiming at improving the sustainability of the European
pension systems.
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The AGIR project is carried out by a consortium
of nine European research institutes,
• CEPS (Centre for European Policy Studies),
Brussels
• CEPII
(Centre d’Etudes Prospectives et d’Informations Internationales), Paris
• CPB (Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy
Analysis), The Hague
• DIW (Deutsches Institut für
Wirtschaftsforschung), Berlin
• ETLA (the Research Institute of the Finnish
Economy), Helsinki
• FEDEA (Fundación de Estudios de Economía
Aplicada), Madrid
• FPB (Belgian Federal Planning Bureau),
Brussels
• NIESR (National Institute for Economic and
Social Research), London
• LEGOS
(Laboratoire d’Economie et de Gestion des Organisations de Santé,
Université
de Paris-Dauphine), Paris
